EV life in the future — what will it be like one day when combustion engines are relegated to a grandfather’s distant memory? That eventuality seemed a lot closer this month, when a Chinese official told an automotive audience in Tianjin that its government is working on a timetable to end “production and sales of traditional energy vehicles.” With a nation as big as China taking the lead in a vision of all-electric transport, we started to believe that the end of gasoline and diesel cars on our own U.S. roads might truly occur in our lifetimes.
So it followed that our biggest stories this week looked at the ways that people in the U.S. and across the globe are trying to make sense of an EV life. In this edition of “The Gas2 Week in Review,” we start by turning to Ben Sullins of Teslanomics and his survey of options for possible Tesla Model 3 owners. (Spoiler Alert: $35,000 just ain’t cuttin’ it.) Then it seems that Norway, which has some of the most ambitious goals and incentives for electric car buyers, was the setting for a sneak preview of Porsche Mission E for dealers this week. Can Porsche snatch a serious percentage of Tesla’s Norwegian market share?
A look at our cities and the way we commute points us to the next story that grabbed our attentions this week about EV life: how e-bikes give you the opportunity to get around at a reasonable pace while also maintaining that trim tummy. Slow to catch on in the U.S., E-bikes are becoming much more common on international city streets. Then there’s a substantial California tease that it may join the growing list of places where vehicles powered by internal combustion engines will soon be no longer welcome— that also made the top Gas2 news. So did China’s shifting deadline to require foreign and domestic car manufacturers to sell a certain percentage of electric car sales or face significant fines.
Here are those stories and more on this edition of “The Gas2 Week in Review.”
An online cost estimator that allows respondents to anticipate how they’d like their future Tesla Model 3 equipped came up with some fascinating results. Ben Sullins of Teslasnomics received about 1000,000 responses to the survey, which produced an extraordinary if probably unreliable data set. But we all know the aphorism about statistics lying, anyway, so let’s see what Ben’s data analysis looked like.
With estimated electricity costs over a month’s driving, a $5,000 down payment, a loan at 4.5%, required monthly insurance premiums, and the so-fun-to-imagine desired equipment, most drivers would pay about $890 a month for the pleasure of owning and operating a Tesla Model 3. The question that hangs out there as we contemplate an EV life of the future is, “Will consumers really pay $890 a month for a midsize electric car— even a Tesla?”